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About Us - the Dynamic Outcomes Team
Dynamic Outcomes is a financial market research and forecasting company, which has specialized in providing comprehensive and consistently accurate forecasts on currency and other financial markets since 2005, not only on the Rand versus major currencies, but on many other currency pairs, indexes and commodities.
Some History
Having been in an export-related business since 1993 (tank container investment management - see www.premiertank.co.za), by 2001 we fully believed (after being 8 years in the business) that we were clearly operating in a definite, steadily-depreciating currency market.
In this period we had tracked daily the Rand's fall against the Dollar in a clear trend from the low R3's to the mid R6's by 1998, and we were not surprised to see this trend continue the next 3 years - although the sharpness of the rise in 2001 to over R13 was pretty mind-numbing.
But when the Rand reversed trend thereafter for the next 4 years, our business model and "understanding" of market movements was turned on its head. By the time we came to late 2004, with the Rand now below R6.00 to the Dollar, we were floundering. We had undertaken an in-depth study into the Rand (we still have not seen anything else published like this), which clearly told us that fundamentally the Rand was overvalued, just as it had been undervalued in 2001.
If this was so, what actually moved markets? It clearly was not fundamentals?
It was this question that led us to the Elliott Wave Principle and to our forecasting service, based on the most advanced Elliott Wave technology available.
Because what actually moves markets is mass human sentiment,driving markets from one extreme to another in varying degrees, based on extremesof hope, greed and complacency to fear, loss and despair, and back again.
And while this is irrational human behaviour, it is predictable human behaviour,
and shows itself in repeatable patterns over and over again.
It was Ralph Elliott, a US stockbroker, who discovered this fact in the 1930s, and based on this discovery (that markets move in specific patterns in smaller and larger degrees), he forecast that the US stock market would have a 7 decade long bull market before the next major crash - a daring forecast which has proved uncannily accurate!
We have used this technology to predict the Rand and other currencies with consistent accuracy of 80%+ since 2005 and continue to add value to many that are affected by currency movements in business, investing and trading.
The Management Team
James Paynter
Specialist Market Analyst and Director
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James, who has a mechanical engineering background, was born in Johannesburg in 1967 and was schooled in
Port Elizabeth, where he obtained Academic Honours for 2 years, matriculating in 1985.
Following matric, James qualified as a Press Toolmaker at Volkswagen SA in 1989 (being awarded Toolmaker of the Year in 1986), and then spent some years in the motor manufacturer's Product Engineering Design & Drawing
Office, where he became one of the first VW employees to become proficient in the use of the automotive/aerospace CAD package CATIA and was responsible for the layouts for various facelifts of the local VW/Audi ranges.
During this time he obtained his Mechanical Engineering National Diploma, through correspondence, with distinctions in all subjects.
In 1992, he left to join family business PTS where he gained considerable experience in business management and financial
analysis. In 1993, he was jointly responsible in the development and launch of the tank container investment management operation, and assisted in development of the business plan and structuring, to planning and implementation of both
accounting and operational systems.
In addition, James was responsible for the development of complex
financial modelling programs, used for structuring, analysis and marketing of tank container investment and leasing opportunities.
However, it was his responsibilities for the exchange control and foreign currency exchange aspect of the business which led to a fascination in market analysis, foreign exchange and global economics. He built his own charting program in Lotus 1-2-3 with numerous indicators, oscillators and trendlines programmed from base formulae (MACD, VHF, RSI, ATR, ROC, Williams%R, Stochastics, Bollinger Bands, plus).
Based on the previous day's Open-Close-Low-High faxed each morning from the bank (there was no publicly available data back then), this charting was updated and used for assisting in the timing of trading investor funds.
But one thing this basic technical analysis did NOT forecasts was the huge run up to 13.85 in 2001 followed by the collpase to 5.60 at the end of 2004.
It was this unexpected and unseasonable appreciation to levels stronger than trade-weighted value that spurred us to undertake an in-depth study into the Rand. During 2004, James and Alan spent long hours researching wide range of economic data and Rand currency movements with a view to establishing the real value of the Rand in the market.
The results of this research were set out in a summary entitled "Rand Report – July 2004", where we established sound grounds that the Rand was grossly overvalued at that time and would weaken to trade-weighted values, sooner rather than later...
(This free report is now entitled “The Rand Exposé – the Fundamental Truth”, has since been updated quarterly to maintain the currency of the economic and fundamental analysis of the Rand).
This conclusion, which became a growing conviction, led to the question:
"Was it possible to predict future market movements, especially changes in trend?"
In doing some internet research looking for an answer, lo and behold! James unearthed the Refined Elliott Trader – something vastly superior to the proverbial "crystal ball".
James spent over 6 months learning to drive this sophisticated software program – first, by qualifying as a Certified Elliottician in February 2005 and then going on to complete the Advanced Course a few months later – a total of 90 modules. And during this time, he tested out the technology's ability to forecast the Rand, with highly pleasing results. Not only did it forecast the change in long term trend in early 2005, but it continued to forecast with over 80% accuracy over all time frames.
When Elliottician (the Company responsible for the development of this technology) advertised for analysts to provide forecasts to their subscriber base, James applied through having to submit several complex multi-period and fully synchronized forecasts, and as a result, was selected and contracted as one of their 3 top analysts to provide daily forecasts on major markets. During his 18 months at Elliottician, he was responsible for forecasting with consistent accuracy EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY and the S&P 500.
After Elliottician changed direction in 2006, James continued to work closely with the Company and owner/developer Richard Swannell in assisting with development of their technology
Here is what Richard Swannell, Founder and Developer of the Refined Elliott Trader www.elliottician.com says of James's forecasting ability:
As founder of the Refined Elliott Principle and the Refined Elliott Trader, I have personally coached hundreds of analysts in the use of our technology, and I am highly impressed with your ability to both analyse and forecast financial markets with this software.
Your track record on the Dollar/Rand is outstanding and I would highly recommend your perceptive forecasting to persons who need such information for trading or business purposes - be it short, medium or long term.
I wholeheartedly endorse your forecasting skills, presentation and reliable service.
Richard Swannell
Elliottician
Founder - Refined Elliott Wave Principle and Refined Elliott Trader
It was in 2005 that James perceived that there was a need in the South African market place for a reliable forecasting service on the Rand and this led to the launch of Dynamic Outcomes service in October 2005, which has since this date provided forecasts to hundreds of clients, initially on the Dollar/Rand, but since then on many other markets, all with the same professionalism and an average level of accuracy exceeding 80%.
James is married with two children – a son and daughter.
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Alan Paynter
Managing Director
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Alan has considerable experience in the financial and foreign exchange arena.
During his 8 years of employment with Ford Motor Co. in Port Elizabeth, he spent the last 3 years as Treasury Manager, where his primary responsibilities were management of corporate cashflow, banking operations, and, of course, foreign currencies - with exposure to Rand, US Dollar, Pound, German Mark, French Franc, Belgian Franc, Canadian Dollar and Australian Dollar.
The experience was invaluable, especially being trained by and interacting with Ford's corporate personnel overseas well-versed in this field, and thereby being able to establish a rapport with the head traders of foreign currency operations at each of the four major banks in South Africa.
Then, after some 15 years of financial management consulting, he was instrumental in launching a Tank Container Investment Management operation (www.premiertank.co.za), with the active involvement of children David, James, and Priscilla. Synergy of abilities, training and experience was well-suited to the requirements of this complex operation – and guaranteed its success to date.
Alan passed on his knowledge regarding currencies and analysis to James over the years that followed and in 2004 together with James spent long hours researching wide range of economic data and Rand currency movements with a view to establishing the real value of the Rand in the market, which study ultimately led to the lau
Alan is actively involved in ensuring that Dynamic Outcomes continues to provide a quality service and adds value to all our clientele.
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| Company Name |
Dynamic Outcomes Inc. |
| Registration No. |
1988/001184/21 |
| Physical address |
2 Carlisle Street
Mount Croix
Port Elizabeth
6001
South Africa |
| Postal address |
P.O. Box 5957
Walmer 6065
South Africa
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Email address
Phone No.
Fax No. |
info@DynamicOutcomes.co.za
+27 (0)41 373-7160
+27 (0)41 373-6873
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